Into an ocean circulation model to forecast where these cells may go over the next 4.5 days. brevis sampling and provides cell count observations to the CMS-USF team.

Once a bloom occurs, the Florida Wildlife Research Institute (FWRI) conducts K. All subsequent years experienced major blooms, although 2016 provided an outlier, a year when we thought that there would not be a major bloom when one indeed occurred. As examples, 2010 experienced no red tide, 2012 was severe, whereas 2013 was only Tide blooms for 20 out of 25 years in which concurrent ocean currents and red tide data are available. By keeping track of Gulf of Mexico currents, we can account for the occurrence or lack of major red brevis, thereby suppressing red tide bloom development. brevis blooms tend to form offshore, other faster growing microscopic plants can prevail If this occurs in spring to summer months, when K. Onto the WFS and carried toward the shore.

When deeper ocean currents influence the WFS in certain ways, nutrients may be upwelled Conditions in successive years are generally not alike. The middle of the west Florida continental shelf (WFS). Seasonal prediction follows from the recognition that Karenia brevis red tide, of offshore origin, thrives under the low nutrient conditions generally found in Short-term tracking of red tide once an event occurs. The College of Marine Science, University of South Florida (CMS-USF) provides seasonal predictions of major red tide events and

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